2016 Hurricane Season Forecast

Most people have heard of the naturally occurring phenomenon called El Nino. However, the full effects of this weather pattern are not well-known, nor does science fully understand the impact it can have overall. That said, El Nino has been present throughout 2016 so far, but is currently weakening. The weakening of this phenomenon could result in an usually strong hurricane season.

According to Colorado State University, there is a 25% chance that the average accumulated cyclone energy (ACE) and the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation/thermohaline circulation (AMO/THC) could be affected. If the AMO/THC is above average and El Nino doesn’t affect it, this could result in as many as 17 named storms, 11 hurricanes, and 5 major hurricanes. On the other hand, if the AMO/THC is below average and El Nino impacts it, there is a chance that as few as 5 named storms may occur, with 2 hurricanes and no major hurricanes.

However, all of these are simply predictions. No one knows what this weather season will hold until it arrives. The best way to prepare is to know what to do in the event of a storm:

1. Know whether evacuation is necessary. If living inside an RV or trailer park, it is best to seek out better shelter. If living within a flood one, take the necessary steps to safeguard a home against the storm.

2. Have a ‘go bag’ ready. Many storms can shift directions quickly and leave families with little time to prepare before they are forced to evacuate. Having a bag ready can make the process much less stressful.

3. Invest in flood insurance if living within an area prone to major storms. This insurance will help to protect a home against conditions ubiquitous to hurricanes that may not be covered under standard homeowners insurance policies.

All anyone can do is be prepared. When it comes to nature, there’s no stopping her; however, by keeping a close eye on developing conditions, individuals can better protect their families and investments.